
Research
Are Roth Conversions Impacted by Returns?
This article explores how investment returns influence the benefits of converting pre-tax retirement assets to a Roth IRA. It highlights when it might be more beneficial to make the conversion, especially during market downturns or in years of lower income.
Exploring the Retirement Consumption Puzzle
This research examines why retirees often spend less than expected, a phenomenon known as the “retirement consumption puzzle.” The study looks into health uncertainties, bequest motives, and behavioral factors that impact retirement spending patterns.
How to Invest for a Sustainable Retirement
This guide presents investment principles designed to ensure long-term retirement income. It includes strategies for risk-adjusted asset allocation and withdrawal methods and emphasizes the significance of aligning investment decisions with retirement objectives and timeframes.
Market Returns Through a Century of Recessions
This research review examines the performance of the U.S. stock market during each recession over the past 100 years. It offers a historical perspective on market volatility, recovery patterns, and long-term investment outcomes. This information aims to help investors recognize that market downturns are a regular part of the economic cycle.
Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance
This article examines whether mutual funds that excel in one period are likely to continue their strong performance in the future. It emphasizes significant trends in fund manager performance, survivorship bias, and the implications for choosing actively managed funds over passive strategies.
Portfolio Success Rates: Where to Draw the Line
This guide examines how sustainable withdrawal rates are established and where advisors should draw the line between success and failure in retirement projections. It offers a more refined perspective on probability-based planning by taking into account both failure rates and the severity of shortfalls.
Rebalancing Strategies for Your Portfolios
This study evaluates various rebalancing approaches, including calendar-based, threshold-based, and hybrid methods, and their impact on risk and return over time. It provides data-driven insights to help investors remain disciplined and maintain their asset allocations through market fluctuations.
Reducing Retirement Risk with a Rising Equity Glide-Path
This research challenges the traditional approach of decreasing equity exposure in retirement. It demonstrates that gradually increasing equity exposure can enhance sustainability, particularly in scenarios with poor initial returns, by mitigating sequence-of-return risk.
Sustainable Withdrawal Rates
This study presents historical evidence on the performance of various withdrawal strategies over time. It introduces the concept of “buffer zones” and compares them with traditional approaches, aiding retirees and advisors in evaluating trade-offs between income security and portfolio longevity.
The 4 Percent Rule
This article challenges the conventional belief that a 4% initial withdrawal rate is always safe. It reevaluates this guideline using current market assumptions and highlights the risks of relying on historical averages in a low-yield environment.
What Are the Benefits of a Cash Reserve Strategy?
This piece explores the importance of cash reserves in retirement income planning. It highlights how having a one-year liquidity buffer can reduce the need to sell investments during market downturns, minimize transaction costs, and help clients maintain emotional stability during periods of volatility.
Why Should You Do a Roth IRA Conversion?
This guide explains how Roth conversions can lower future tax burdens and Medicare premiums. It highlights the opportunity to convert during low-tax years, particularly before required minimum distributions begin or tax rates increase in 2026.
Social Security and Retirement Timing: Evidence from a National Sample of Teachers
This study reveals that public school teachers who are covered by Social Security are more likely to retire between the ages of 62 and 70, particularly at the early eligibility ages. The research emphasizes how Social Security incentives impact retirement decisions within the public sector.
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